I left a comment on Alex Mandossian’s blog about a recent entry of his.

Quite an entry I might add. Needless to say, I agree with his well researched post and am glad that people who have a platform use it to promote ideals and help point towards the future.

In my comment, I say that 80% of the working population used to be entrepreneurs until about 1945. These numbers are approximations and may vary from state to state and country to country but they are a prety good ballpark figure. What happened since then?
The second half of the 20th century was, in my opinion, an aberration that needs to be corrected. 

Maybe I side too much with the entrepreneurs, but is it just coincidence that with the rise of the corporation era, to the point where entrepreneurs only made up 10% of the working population, was also the time when all of our environmental problems started . . .

It is often said that large corporations can’t adapt quickly because they are too big, that they are conservative and don’t like to change their ways. When they start causing a problem, they keep on making it worse because they don’t change their ways.

Hopefully, the next generation of interdependent entrepreneurs will be quicker at solving all of the pressing environmental issues that are currently putting the survival of the human race at stake.

Despite my optimism, I am reminded that it was in fact two very ambitious entrepreneurs, Henry Ford and John D. Rockefeller, who helped launch the big corporation era and our dependence on cars and oil, the two most important causes of our current environnmental and political predicament.

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I am notoriously bad at predicting a year ahead because my predictions occur 5 to 20 years later.

With the speed of progress, I’d say that whatever I write here shold happen within the next 3-5 years.  Enjoy:

Cell phones: on the cover
of PC Magazine it says that “PC is dead long live the PC”.
The article hails smart phones as the new PCs. For the first time,
the sales of notebook computers is equal to the sales of desktop
computers. The only reason for that is that the sales of desktop PCs
have dropped more than the sales of laptops while the sales of cell
phones keep on growing.

Labor shortage fears are
unfounded: It was thought that
because a lot of baby boomers will retire within the next 10 years
there won’t be enough people to replace their posts. But, because of
profound changes in how people work and where they work,no such
shortage will occur. Indeed, a lot of jobs are being outsourced to
developing nations and Third World countries. Smarter software can
easily replace workers. In Asia, robots are used more and more to
replace any shortage in manual labor.

Discoveries in physics: The highly criticized and
highly feared Hadron collider in Europe did not cause the end of
the world, as feared by some doomsayers, but rather provided the necessary information to finally
come up with the “theory of everything”. As was the case with the
sequencing of the genome, this discovery will be a watershed event, the best is yet to come.

Entertainment: Despite its move to all high definition broadcasts, the major networks keep losing their audience to the web. The most popular shows are available for download or streaming, sometimes even before network air date. Half the population wathes tehir shows on teh computer, sponsors are migrating to the web, networks are asking for a bailout.

Discoveries in brain
science: Interdisciplinary studies have resulted in the creation of progams that accelerate human learning for any skills, whether manual skills or advanced learning skills. These discoveries are being championed by popular Gurus such as Tim Ferriss, John Assaraf and Tony Robbins.

Development in
nanotechnology: By the end of 2009, it willbe routine to build micromachines which are themselves used in the assembly of nano
machines. These advance allow for further development in biotechnology and teh development of quantum coputers.

Well, these are my predictions. Too bad we will have to wait more than a year for themto come true . . .

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